Thursday, May 31, 2012
Dollar News.....Source
Wednesday, May 30, 2012
Buy Subros Cmp 33.40 with the target of 37Rs in Short term, Stoploss 29Rs Strictly follow....Rohit Saxena
Subros net profit rises 221.17% in the March 2012 quarter | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(30-May-2012 , 12:18 Hours IST) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Update : Buy Skumarsynf Cmp 26.30Rs, buy between 25 to 27Rs, Target R1-29.50Rs, R2- 32Rs, R3- 35Rs.
Skumarsynf Cmp 31.20Rs, Todays High 31.60Rs, Target R2 - 32Rs almost achieved 7% up today, total 20%Up in 15days.
Trading Call Closed :- Buy Nifty May 5000Pe @ 35Rs, Target 55Rs, stoploss 32Rs strictly Follow.....Rohit Saxena
Tuesday, May 29, 2012
Update : Buy Skumarsynf Cmp 26.30Rs, buy between 25 to 27Rs, Target R1-29.50Rs, R2- 32Rs, R3- 35Rs.
Skumarsynf Cmp 29.35Rs, Todays High 29.80Rs, Target R1 29.50Rs achieved 10%Up in 14days.
Friday, May 25, 2012
Buy and Hold Pidilite Industries Cmp 170.50Rs, R1-179Rs, R2-188Rs, R3-196Rs
Sales rise 16.76% to Rs. 647.64 crore | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Rohit Saxena
Thursday, May 24, 2012
Bharti and Qualcomm announce partnership for 4G ( Cmp 297Rs, 5.32% Up today)
Bharti already has BWA licenses in four circles - Kolkata, Karnataka, Punjab and Maharashtra - and 3G licenses in thirteen circles in India. | |
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Rohit Saxena
Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Dollar Vs Rupee ? God save rupee!!!
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Rohit Saxena
Market Updates.....By Experts
Rohit Saxena
Market bullishness
Global markets have been terrible this month but may be things are
about to change for good and here's why
Greece Exit from Euro may not happen
Reason:
Greece's conservative New Democracy party, which backs the country's
international bailout, has retaken the lead from the anti-bailout
radical leftist SYRIZA, a poll showed on Thursday, the first published
since a new election was called for June 17
Based on this result, New Democracy would win 123 seats, the pollsters
said. Combined with the 41 seats projected to be won by the Socialist
PASOK, Greece's two major pro-bailout parties would command a 14-seat
majority in the country's 300-strong parliament. This means Angela
Merkel's strategy is working and she seems to be promising that if
Greece abide's by its commitments…EU will look into growth stimulus of
Greece.
This looks like great news as it removes the political uncertainty and
with political momentum behind New Democracy and anti left: Greece may
not have to exit Euro. This will take out the Big IF fom the market
Here's the complete news:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/17/us-greece-politics-poll-idUSBRE84G11420120517
The other big news comes from China
There is speculation that Chinese government will step up efforts to
combat a slowdown by announcing a big stimulus program this week.
With market completely oversold, both the news items have the
potential to reverse the slide. At this point of the time – the news
looks good but we need to see the confirmation on the screen.
Remember, News don't change the trend of the market per se…the
technicals of the market change the trend. So, news looks bullish but
we need to see the bullish action
Rohit Saxena
Friday, May 18, 2012
March quater results snapshot
Please see the find attachment.
Rohit Saxena
COVER ALL SHORTS ON A CLOSE ABOVE 4850 ON SPOT.
Rohit Saxena
One more list of FCCB / ECB
This is what Fitch ratings believe
A total of 59 Indian companies face redemption of USD7bn in foreign currency convertible bonds (FCCB) during 2012. Fitch Ratings believes that about 63% of the amount due is likely to be repaid from a combination of internal accruals and fresh borrowings. Of the balance 17% is expected to undergo restructuring (mostly time extensions) while the remaining 20% is likely to default with ensuing restructuring, possibly having significant distressed debt exchange (DDE) features
Just look at the various companies, redemption amount and when it is due.
Stock | FCCB due on | Redemption Amount [USD mn] | |||
. | Likely to be redeemed | ||||
. | Reliance Communications Ltd | 1-Mar-2012 | 1181.51 | ||
. | Tata Motors Ltd | 12-Jul-2012 | 623.5 | ||
. | Tata Steel Ltd | 5-Sep-2012 | 471.15 | ||
. | JSW Steel Ltd | 28-Jun-2012 | 391.84 | ||
. | Bharat Forge Ltd | 28-Apr-2012 | 57.03 | ||
. | Likely to be redeemed [Companies likely to get refinancing option] | ||||
. | Jaiprakash Associates Ltd | 12-Sep-2012 | 523.56 | ||
. | Tulip Telecom Ltd | 26-Aug-2012 | 140.17 | ||
. | Strides Arcolab Ltd | 27-Jun-2012 | 116.04 | ||
. | Educomp Solutions Ltd | 26-Jul-2012 | 110.75 | ||
. | Man Industries India Ltd | 23-May-2012 | 64.63 | ||
. | Pidilite Industries Ltd | 7-Dec-2012 | 51.84 | ||
. | Everest Kanto Cylinder Ltd | 10-Oct-2012 | 49.98 | ||
. | Grabal Alok Impex Ltd | 5-Apr-2012 | 28.43 | ||
. | Rajesh Exports Ltd | 21-Feb-2012 | 25.46 | ||
. | Ruchi Infrastructure Ltd | 3-Feb-2012 | 18.78 | ||
. | Micro Technologies India Ltd | 23-Jul-2012 | 18.63 | ||
. | Uflex Ltd | 9-Mar-2012 | 11.45 | ||
. | Kalindee Rail Nirman Engineers | 7-Mar-2012 | 3.3 | ||
. | Likely to be redeemed [Companies may secure high cost local funding to redeem] | ||||
. | Orchid Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals | 28-Feb-2012 | 167.64 | ||
. | Rolta India Ltd | 29-Jun-2012 | 134.77 | ||
. | Plethico Pharmaceuticals Ltd | 23-Oct-2012 | 109.44 | ||
. | Karuturi Global Ltd | 19-Oct-2012 | 55.07 | ||
. | Sharon Bio-Medicine Ltd | 4-Dec-2012 | 23.3 | ||
. | Websol Energy System Ltd | 1-Nov-2012 | 22.05 | ||
. | Kamat Hotels India Ltd | 14-Mar-2012 | 19.6 | ||
. | Surana Industries Ltd | 20-Jun-2012 | 18.12 | ||
. | Aarvee Denims & Exports Ltd | 11-Apr-2012 | 5.92 | ||
. | Easun Reyrolle Ltd | 5-Dec-2012 | 5.7 | ||
. | Suryajyoti Spinning Mills Ltd | 17-Feb-2012 | 3.51 | ||
. | Tantia Constructions Ltd | 18-Jul-2012 | 3.44 | ||
. | OK Play India Ltd | 24-Jul-2012 | 0.35 | ||
. | Will have to restructure | ||||
. | Suzlon Energy Ltd | 12-Jun-2012 | 306.87 | ||
. | Firstsource Solutions Ltd | 4-Dec-2012 | 240.13 | ||
. | Suzlon Energy Ltd | 11-Oct-2012 | 175.84 | ||
. | Prime Focus Ltd | 13-Dec-2012 | 78.99 | ||
. | Prithvi Information Solutions | 27-Feb-2012 | 76.1 | ||
. | Moser Baer India Ltd | 21-Jun-2012 | 61.45 | ||
. | Hotel Leela Venture Ltd | 25-Apr-2012 | 60.98 | ||
. | Moser Baer India Ltd | 21-Jun-2012 | 59.93 | ||
. | Great Offshore Ltd | 12-Oct-2012 | 40 | ||
. | Suzlon Energy Ltd | 11-Oct-2012 | 32.8 | ||
. | Shree Ashtavinyak Cine Vision | 22-Dec-2012 | 27.34 | ||
. | Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn Ltd | 27-Sep-2012 | 14.46 | ||
. | Fear of Significant Distress | ||||
. | GTL Infrastructure Ltd | 29-Nov-2012 | 320.55 | ||
. | Subex Ltd | 9-Mar-2012 | 85.16 | ||
. | Subex Ltd | 9-Mar-2012 | 53.05 | ||
. | XL Energy Ltd | 23-Oct-2012 | 46.6 | ||
. | Gayatri Projects Ltd | 3-Aug-2012 | 42.34 | ||
. | Indowind Energy Ltd | 22-Dec-2012 | 30 | ||
. | Pokarna Ltd | 29-Mar-2012 | 17.34 | ||
. | Murli Industries Ltd | 6-Feb-2012 | 8.23 | ||
. | Threat of Default | ||||
. | Sterling Biotech Ltd | 16-May-2012 | 183.84 | ||
. | Pyramid Saimira Theatre Ltd | 4-Jul-2012 | 122.56 | ||
. | KSL and Industries Ltd | 19-May-2012 | 111.58 | ||
. | 3i Infotech Ltd | 27-Jul-2012 | 93.86 | ||
. | Zenith Infotech Ltd | 17-Aug-2012 | 46.7 | ||
. | 3i Infotech Ltd | 3-Apr-2012 | 36.3 | ||
. | ICSA India Ltd | 28-Apr-2012 | 32.74 | ||
. | KLG Systel Ltd | 27-Mar-2012 | 31.63 | ||
. | ICSA India Ltd | 10-Mar-2012 | 30.01 | ||
. | Ankur Drugs & Pharma Ltd | 27-Dec-2012 | 26.6 | ||
. | Gemini Communications Ltd | 18-Jul-2012 | 205 | ||
. | Pioneer Embroideries Ltd | 28-Apr-2012 | 16.41 | ||
. | GV Films Ltd | 23-Oct-2012 | 16.38 | ||
. | Wanbury Ltd | 23-Apr-2012 | 14.41 | ||
. | Wanbury Ltd | 17-Dec-2012 | 12.66 |
What does this all mean?
Reliance Communications Limited has already tied-up funding sources for redeeming its FCCB, others in the top 5 are expected to redeem bonds by combining internal accrual, fresh FCCB issuance and low-cost ECB. Large companies are always able to manage somehow.
There is a possibility that many companies will default unless they have tied up liquidity support. Even if they get access to liquidity, it will not come cheap and as a result: the interest burden will be big overhang on company's performance. So, Be careful before you put in money in stocks which are lower down in the list. And also keep an eye on all the names to avoid any ugly surprise.
Rohit Saxena
Impact on USD rising on corporates
Dear Investors,
Rohit Saxena
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
My Experience say something about current Scenerio and Prediction for Future......Rohit Saxena
Rohit Saxena
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Buy Skumarsynf Cmp 26.60Rs, buy between 25 to 27Rs, Target R1-29.50Rs, R2- 32Rs, R3- 35Rs.
Rohit Saxena
Monday, May 14, 2012
Go with Central Bank Of India......Rohit Saxena
Rohit Saxena
Friday, May 11, 2012
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Wednesday, May 9, 2012
Vijaya Bank net profit rises 233.71% in the March 2012 quarter
Operating income rises 33.78% to Rs. 2152.23 crore | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Rohit Saxena
Thursday, May 3, 2012
USDINR Report : India: Still bearish on INR
India: Still bearish on INR
- INR has been an underperformer in Asia since mid-2012 with a 15% depreciation. The weakness can be attributed to fading FII and other capital flows, a persistent and large current account deficit and no policy support for the INR (lack of policy reforms as well as insufficient RBI intervention).
- However, The downside risks to our view of a weaker rupee are (1) lower oil prices (2) another round of QE by the Fed (3) large RBI intervention (but the central bank will be wary of losing too much reserves); (4) fuel price reform (which could get delayed to June)
Rohit Saxena
Wednesday, May 2, 2012
Jindal Power Expansion
JPL has announced further Brownfield expansion of 2400 MW (4x600 MW) Power Plant at an estimated project cost of Rs. 13,410 crore (US $ 2.62 billion*). Order for Boiler Turbine & Generator (BTG) package was placed on BHEL in December 2008. There were 57 major packages in the project out of which 44 packages have been awarded and we are in the process of ordering the balance packages. The consent to establish was received in November, 2011 and since then the construction activity has been going on in full swing.
This project will be completed in stages in the year of 2013/14 and the same has been funded on the basis of 75:25 debt: equity. The company is in the process of syndicating the debt portion of the project and the equity portion will be arranged from internal accruals / IPO.
JPL has announced expansion at Dumka, Jharkhand 1320 MW (2X660 MW) Power Plant at an estimated project cost of Rs. 7224.00 crore (US $ 1.41 billion*). This Plant will be completed in stages in the year of 2015 and the same has been funded on the basis of 70:30 debt: equity. The Company is in the process of tie-up of debt amounting to Rs. 5057.00 crore and the equity of Rs. 2167.00 Crore will be arranged from internal accruals/ IPO.
Another Power Plant of 1320 MW (2X660 MW) at Godda, Jharkhand at an estimated project cost of Rs. 7271.00 crore (US $ 1.42 billion*) will be completed in the year of 2015 and the same has also been funded on the basis of 70:30 debt : equity. The company is in the process of tie-up of debt amounting to Rs. 2566.00 crore and the equity of Rs. 1100 crore will be arranged from internal accruals/ IPO.
- Board of Directors recommended dividend of Rs. 1.60 per equity share for FY 12.
- Currently the scrip is trading at Rs. 502.70 on BSE.
Rohit Saxena
BUY JSPL 508-509 WITH THE STOP AT 500 FOR TGT OF 611Rs in Medium Term
Quarter PerformanceThe consolidated topline grew by robust 42% to Rs. 5482.33 crore in March 2012 quarter aided by notable performance of its iron and steel sales. The iron and steel sales grew by robust 47% to Rs. 4404.35 crore on back of impressive sales across all products. The steel products sales volume (i.e. slabs/bloom/billets etc) grew by 39% to 7.36 lakh MT while the pellet sales spurted by whopping 207% to 6.90 lakh MT gaining from iron ore shortage and full liquidation of pellet inventory held in Dec 2011 quarter. Also the sponge iron sale grew by whopping 206% to 25285 MT. Only the pig iron sales crashed by notable 94% to 2614 MT primarily due to higher captive consumption. The power sales grew by 19% to Rs. 1280.33 crore.
The consolidated OPM crashed by whopping 990 bps to 34.9% due to significant spike in raw material costs and higher staff cost. The raw material costs, as % to sales net stock adjusted, surged by outstanding 3000 bps to 36% due to increased import of sponge iron (HBI) from Oman plant and forex impact on coking coal. Thus the operating profit growth was constrained drastically to 11% to Rs. 1914.41 crore. The PBIT margin of iron & steel crashed by 260 bps to 27% thereby limiting the growth in its PBIT to 34% to Rs. 1196.94 crore. Also the PBIT margin of power crashed by outstanding 1920 bps to 49% resulting in 14% fall in its PBIT to Rs. 621.27 crore.
Consolidated PBT grew by meager 5% to Rs. 1436.67 crore on overall unfavorable non operating performance. The other income fell by 22% to Rs. 46.96 crore. Further the interest cost grew by notable 43% to Rs. 128.87 crore while the depreciation cost increased by 18% to Rs. 395.83 crore. Fortunately, the PAT grew by 16% to Rs. 1161.55 crore on crash in effective tax rate by whopping 740 bps on account of adjustment of deferred tax. The net profit settled with 17% growth to Rs. 1167.01 crore.
The above consolidated results for March 2012 quarter also include the financial results of Jindal Power, a subsidiary of JSPL. The net sales of Jindal Power fell by 7% to Rs. 773.20 crore while the net profit declined by 15% to Rs. 421.38 crore. It generated power of 2125 million units with PLF of 98% in March 2012 quarter against 2178 million units in March 2011 quarter.
On standalone basis, its net profit grew by 21% to Rs. 783.63 crore on robust 52% growth in net sales to Rs. 4174.02 crore.
Annual Performance
In financial year 2011-12, the consolidated topline grew by robust 39% to Rs. 18208.60 crore aided by impressive performance of iron and steel sales though flat power sales restricted the growth to some extent. The iron & steel sales grew by robust 52% to Rs. 14500.11 crore. It was backed by whopping 259% growth in pellet sales (to 20.28 lakh MT) and 26% growth in steel products (to 23.85 lakh MT). Only the sponge iron and pig iron sales fell by 31% to 78457 MT and 58% to 85428 MT respectively on account of higher captive consumption. The power sales grew by flat 3% to Rs. 4464.32 crore.
The consolidated OPM crashed by whopping 1040 bps to 38.4% on account of spike in raw material costs. The raw material costs, as % to sales net stock adjusted, surged by whopping 970 bps to 32% due to increased imports of sponge iron from Oman plant, steep rupee depreciation and increase in steel costs. Thus the operating profit growth was drastically restricted to 9% to Rs. 6987.31 crore. Segmentwise, the PBIT margin of iron & steel fell by 140 bps to 29% thereby limiting PBIT growth to 45% to Rs. 4181.50 crore. Further the PBIT margin of power was dragged down by whopping 860 bps to 59% resulting in 10% fall in its PBIT to Rs. 2653.53 crore.
Growth in other income by impressive 74% (includes interim dividend of Rs. 130.05 crore from Jindal Power) was offset by higher interest and depreciation costs thereby limiting growth in PBT before EO to 5% to Rs. 5236.83 crore. Further on accounting net EO expense of Rs. 48.23 crore (EO expense of Rs. 74.17 crore representing investments written off/provided for losses in mining and exploration activity overseas and EO income of Rs. 25.94 crore), the PBT after EO grew by marginal 4% to Rs. 5188.60 crore. Nonetheless, 90 bps fall in effective tax rate and improved profit from associates enabled 6% growth in net profit to Rs. 3964.90 crore.
The net sales of Jindal Power, which is included above, fell by 11% to Rs. 2979.67 crore while the net profit reduced by 12% to Rs. 1764.99 crore in FY 2012. It generated power of 8589 million units against 8598 in FY 11.
On standalone basis, the net profit grew by flat 2% to Rs. 2110.65 crore on robust 39% growth in topline to Rs. 13333.95 crore.
Rohit Saxena