I seen bull run till 15th Feb

As per the todays buying via institution and FII's may be FII's input more money before 15th Feb and L&T will reach 1410 level.

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

View on Nifty.......Rohit Saxena

Strictly follow stop loss in stocks as per the Nifty level 5120 to 5130 otherwise long the position.

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

Time Tecnoplast Cmp 50.25Rs......CHEERS!!

TimeTechnoPlast Cmp 50.25Rs, todays High 50.45Rs, 8.5% Up today, Target was 51Rs. (call closed in 21days total Return 19%)

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

Book partial profit : Update on :- Share the Experience of past and prediction for future....CHEERS!!

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

No more weekly inflation number,source IIFL

Now there will be no weekly inflation number. The Government has decided to bring in the wholesale price index (WPI) only on a monthly basis. WPI is also known as the headline inflation number. The Cabinet Committee of Economic Affairs (CCEA) on Tuesday approved the periodicity.

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

Experts view on Derivative

Dear All,

 

Nifty rolled around 53 and Bank nifty at around 60% as of Tuesday.FII sold 300 cr in index option we feel it is 5100 put.So Nifty might not drop below 5100 today how ever the break even of call writer is at 5210 so if nifty comes at 5100-5120 buy call for 60 pt sup move or at 5200-5210 buy put for 70 pt sdown move.Bank Nifty might witness sum prft booking however we like PNB,GMR,RCOm and JSWh for today's trade.

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

Update on Currency News.

Dear All,

The rise has been mainly driven by capital inflows by foreign institutional investors due to moderating inflation and possibility of monetary easing by the RBI after a series of rate hikes by the central bank in the last two years.

Hence INR should appreciate in case if there is no further rate hike

--

Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

News on Currency

Dear All,

Dollar/rupee fell in early morning trades Monday as foreign institutional investors (FII) inflows into stocks offset impact of oil importers' month end demand. Euro-zone finance ministers are scheduled to meet later today to discuss new budget rules, measures to protect debt ridden Euro-nations and losses that private creditors to Greece may have to undergo. Overseas investors have bought over $1 billion worth of stocks this year compared to over $709 million sales in the corresponding period a year earlier.

Investors are also caution ahead of the Reserve Bank of India monetary policy review on Jan 24

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

MARKET OUTLOOK

Dear All,

The two events that will be driving our markets for the week are the RBI Credit Policy and the F&O expiry. These two could be clubbed with corporate results and few important global cues. If we look at the markets in broader terms through objective technical analysis, then traders should reduce their longs as there is only very limited upside or no upside with respect to the high struck by the Nifty last week. On the other hand, there is more depth seen on the downside. 

Should it mean that one should create shorts here? No, traders should wait for the cues or can act by levels to initiate their trading positions. (Go Short below 5020 with a stop loss of 5070 and add shorts at the break of every support levels). 

When there are more events markets usually maintain resilience; the true colors can be seen either pre-event or post-event. Given the scenario, in current state we expect the market to act very aggressively post the important events of this week. 

What are the odds on the events that one can expect? If we look at the traditional analysis, most of the frontliners and the Nifty are in highly overbought region. Again, traditional indicators fail to show their movement as they can remain at the same level, though prices inch up further. So, to confirm the turnaround from overbought to a selling mode, we depend on the modern studies. The readings that we observe from the same are as follows:

• There is a very limited upside for the Nifty from the current levels of 5050.
• Bank Nifty, the index that is on the radar ahead of the RBI policy is topping out and could find a strong resistance at 9710. Even in extreme scenario, the Bank Nifty  could face a resistance at 9950.
• FMCG, IT, Pharma will again prove to be defensive bets. 
• AUTO, METALS, CAPITAL GOODS, OIL&GAS will witness profit booking / selling pressure.
• Mid Caps and Small Caps could see more dumping. The stocks that rallied in recent days have good chance of coming back to their respective levels from where they rallied. 

With the aforesaid observations, it is seen that February is going to be disappointing for Long traders. This is just a warning and traders should maintain their positions with stringent stop losses. 

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

Update on :- Share the Experience of past and prediction for future....CHEERS!!

Dear Investor,

 

On last 10th of Jan market was given the rally in Nifty 100points and sensex 300 points approx and total upside rally in 9days, nifty was given 400points rally as per the below updation.

 

Update on stocks performance as per 28th dec closing rates :-

 

1- IGL cmp 330Rs not performing but hold the position.

 

2- Petronet cmp 157Rs  not performing but hold the position.

 

3- ONGC cmp 268 Rs still on the way 3% up

 

4- LIC cmp 245 Rs still on the way 9.3% Up.

 

5- Gail India cmp 370Rs not performing but hold the position.

 

6- Coal India Cmp 348Rs still on the way 18% Up.

 

7- Hindalco cmp 144Rs still on the way 19% Up.

 

8- TataMotors Cmp 218Rs still on the way 22% up.

 

9- TataSteel cmp 437Rs still on the way 26.66% Up.

 

10- SesaGoa cmp 190Rs still on the way 19% Up.

 

11- YesBank cmp 284Rs still on the way 18%Up.

 

12- UBL cmp 447Rs still on the way 18% Up.

 

13- Titan Cmp 184Rs still on the way 7% Up.

 

14- SunPharma Cmp 519Rs still on the way 4% Up.

 

15- Siemens Cmp 750Rs Still on the way 14% Up.

 

16- Bharti Airtel Cmp 342Rs not performing but hold the position.

 

17- TimeTechno Plast Cmp 46Rs still on the way 10% Up.

 

As per the performance of the stocks out of 17 scrips 4 Scrips are not performing and i hope our investor make good profit in other stocks, i suggest to my investors to bet on my stock and carry on your position till expiry of the jan 25th and book your profit. and wait for the election. before election i will update you again what we will do for future.

 

 

CHEERS!!

 

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

Reliance Buy Back Plan - Observations.

Observations:

1. Reliance has announced that the company is mulling a plan for "buyback" on 20th Jan, 2012.

2. Being the "buyback" program coming from the largest company of India, it naturally creates excitement and interest amongst market participants. In that backdrop, an effort is made in this report regarding this "buyback" announcement.

3. Last time, Reliance Industries has announced the buyback in December 2004. So, it was about 7 years ago. While the history may not become the basis for future, the experiences from the buyback program of 2004 can give insights into what can be expected this time.

4. The maximum buyback price announced in that 2004 buyback program was at Rs 285 per share (that is, prebonus price of Rs 570 per share). The maximum buyback price they have announced is about 10.87% premium over the share price just before the buyback announcement.

5. Further, the size of the buyback program is kept at Rs 2999 Crores. This was about 10% of the share capital plus free reserves as of 31st March 2004.

6. If one observes, the actual buyback done by the company during that buyback program in 2004 and 2005, some interesting observations emerge.

7. One is, after the announcement of buyback on 28th December 2004, the company has done buyback only on 9 days. And, the total buyback done by the company was to the tune of about Rs 149.62 Crores. So, the actual buyback program is to the tune of just 5% of the total buyback size.

8. The average buyback price paid by the company works out to about Rs. 521.39 per share. As the buyback program was through Open Market mechanism, the actual buyback price can be at a discount to the maximum buyback price.

9. On the basis of this experience of 2004 buyback program, one can expect the following in the 2012 buyback program.

10. The current share capital plus free reserves of compay is about Rs 1,46,000 Crores, as per the latest financials on 31st March 2011. One can assume 10% of this amount as the maximum buyback size. That is, the buyback size this time can be about Rs 14,600 Crores. However, the company may choose the buyback size in the range of Rs 10,000 Crores to Rs 14,600 Crores.

11. Similarly, the current share price of the company is about Rs 770 per share. Assuming about 10% premium, the maximum buyback price may be fixed at about Rs 850 per share. However, the company may choose the maximum buyback price in the range of Rs 850 - Rs 900 per share.

12. Further, whatever may be the buyback size the company may announce, the investors shall remember that there is no mandatory requirement that the company shall buy the entire amount of buyback. The 2004 buyback program suggests that the company had bought back about 5% of the announced buyback program.

13. To conclude, whatever may be the company's announcement, it is reasonable to expect that this will be largest ever buyback program in the history of Indian capital market. Also, this buyback announcement will be a strong statement from the company's management that they "feel" currently the share price in the market is undervalued than the intrinsic worth.

14. Further, with about Rs 85,000 Crores of cash on the books, the company is endowed with strong muscle to complete the buyback program.

15. However, considering huge expansion plans that company is lining up in the oil and gas, telecom, retail, etc, the company may wish to preserve as much cash as possible to finance the expansion plans.

(From Market Sources)

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Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

Cheers for JPassociate !!

Cheers for JPassociate cmp 63.40Rs total return 8% in 5days......short term target closed.

CHEERS !!

--

Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

News for Investor

Dear All,

 

 

Asian stock markets powered higher Tuesday, as China's economy expanded at a faster-than-expected pace in the fourth quarter, dousing fears of a hard landing for the world's second biggest economy.

A successful sale of French Treasury bills Monday had earlier reassured investors in the wake of the country's credit downgrade late Friday. Following the China data, risk-sensitive currencies such as the euro and the Australian dollar received a boost.

Dollar/rupee may trade tad down in the week to Jan 20 on expectation of increased foreign inflows in local shares after Indian stock market regulator; SEBI allowed qualified foreign investors (QFIs) to invest directly into Indian shares

Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

News for Investors

Dear All,

All eyes on the French bond auction today to set the tone for Eurozone debt fears this week after Fridays S&P downgrade

Also US market is closed today

-- 

Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible." 

              

Go with JPAssociate with the short term target Of Rs 63 8% Upside Rohit Saxena

Go with JPAssociate with the short term target Of Rs 63. 8% upside.

*
Thanks and Regards

Rohit Saxena
Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com
*Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not
impossible."* **[image: cid:image002.gif@01CA4A0B.B2E13600]*

FII bought only 325 cr despite a huge rally yesterday

Dear All,

Following are sectors,scrips with their delivery and Nifty 50 scrips for last 5days, FII bought only 325 cr despite a huge rally yesterday,try n match ur long position if it is in sync with this Data.

Scrip Name	01/10/2012	01/09/2012	01/06/2012	01/05/2012	01/04/2012	5 DMA	% Chng
�	�	�	�	�	�	�	�
ASHOKLEY	5270873	972307	3440841	1392849	876202	2390614	120.48
BHARATFORG	152035	19135	29976	38548	123485	72636	109.31
Escorts	861563	475791	263374	518829	522163	528344	63.07
MARUTI	173090	175383	80422	129597	83144	128327	34.88
BAJAJHLDNG	1210737	1188262	1002495	317728	808265	905497	33.71
BAJAJ-AUTO	496610	295506	270619	274737	650313	397557	24.92
TVSMOTOR	900391	519689	993814	559282	717306	738096	21.99
Appolo Tyre	700470	331613	615012	808219	625987	616260	13.66
HEROHONDA	390915	229074	664775	346105	233403	372855	4.84
M&M	1404520	528867	921420	1884997	1984917	1344944	4.43
TATAMOTORS	6315044	4544799	5515699	9994823	9438982	7161869	(11.82)
Exide Ind	189987	271582	1287791	1389923	1733832	974623	(80.51)
Automobiles	�	�	�	�	�	�	�
�SECTOR TOTAL	�18,066,235	�� 9,552,008	������ 15,086,238	�17,655,637	� 17,797,998	�� 15,631,623	15.57
�	�	�	�	�	�	�	�
Banking & Financial Services-	�	�	�	�	�	�	�
IOB	3188503	275303	128422	1447428	1249468	1257825	153.49
UCOBANK	1483735	769571	383434	428800	516631	716434	107.10
INDUSINDBK	299937	64876	267833	95950	63261	158371	89.39
BANKINDIA	139512	44341	61850	66641	76310	77731	79.48
IDBI	786195	235263	236802	600434	370200	445779	76.36
ORIENTBANK	532061	112911	161017	378785	449828	326920	62.75
DCB	1362828	772024	567438	795947	721904	844028	61.47
VIJAYABANK	600188	231412	304759	307371	522529	393252	52.62
SBIN	926684	1278669	416932	404142	296414	664568	39.44
PNB	177689	57074	136297	146791	119557	127481	39.38
DENABANK	659953	333234	262016	793037	353831	<td style="width:65pt;border-width:medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style:none solid solid none;border-color:-moz-use-text-color windowtext windowtext -moz-use-text-color;pad

...

Thanks and Regards 
 
Rohit Saxena

Phone No: 09899365905
Mail Id: simmi9sep@gmail.com

Losers say it is hard and impossible, but winners say it is hard but not impossible."